Market Focus Analysis:
Pulse Focus 1: The U.S. has paused its continuous attacks on Iran. Iran also stated that it has made significant progress with Oman regarding operations in the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a substantial de-escalation of tensions in the strait.
Focus Analysis: We mentioned in last Friday’s analysis that “both the U.S. and Iran are nearing their pressure limits, possibly entering negotiations,” which has now come true. Although negotiations won’t be resolved overnight, the overall situation has cooled down, and the main driver behind the previous surge in oil prices is gradually weakening.
Asset Reminder: On Monday’s early session, U.S. crude oil plunged nearly 10%, falling from Friday’s close around $91.50 to near $83.50. If there is any intraday rebound, priority should be given to identifying signals for a second sell-off on the pullback. Key resistance lies at 88, with main downside targets at 80 and 78.
Plugin Case Demonstration
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Gold: Yesterday, the plugin signaled a breakout above 4065 with a retest of the blue zone for a buy limit order. This strategy achieved a near 5:1 risk-reward ratio. The price has reclaimed the key support at 4040/50; intraday focus should be on signals indicating continued upward momentum. Additionally, keep an eye on liquidity sweeps around 4070/90. For detailed positioning, please consult the plugin.
(Gold 15-minute chart)
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Nasdaq: The liquidity sweep in the yellow zone mentioned last Friday performed exceptionally well, and after the price completed its sweep, it reversed sharply with a V-shaped rebound. Today, we will continue monitoring liquidity around 28,200; if momentum breaks above 28,650, consider a pullback buy. For detailed positions, please consult the plugin.
(NASDAQ 15-minute chart)
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Crude oil: After breaking below the 91 level, a top formation was established. The subsequent rebound failed to fully reach the neckline, yet the downward move remained substantial. Today, we are monitoring signals for further decline after liquidity is absorbed around the 88 area during the bounce. For detailed levels, please consult the plugin.
(Crude Oil 15-minute Chart)
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Today’s key financial data and events to watch:
18:00 UK July CBI Retail Sales Difference
20:30 U.S. June Durable Goods Orders Monthly Rate
22:30 U.S. July Dallas Fed Business Activity Index
